Saturday 2 December 2023

VANARAMA NATIONAL LEAGUE - THE BATTLE TO BEAT RELEGATION

Here we will take a look at this season's Vanarama National League and the battle to avoid relegation from non-league's top table. Below are the positions between the 20th and 21st since the 2010. If you take the 10/11 and 11/12 seasons for example you can see the points needed to be safe would be 47 (FGR stayed up on goal difference) and 42 as Hayes & Yeading United had 41 points. 

We will exclude the pandemic effected seasons of 19/20 and 20/21 and also the 21/22 seasons just going with the straight forward 46 games season. 

AVERAGE POINTS - 48.10
The average points required to finish 20th in a 46 games season since 2010 is 48.10. 

AVERAGE GAMES WON - 11.80 
The average number of games won for teams finishing in 20th place (one above the relegation zone) in a 46 games season since 2010 is 11.80 with the most being 14 for Southport in 13/13 and the least being 10 for FGR (10/11) and AFC Telford United (11/12). 

AVERAGE GAMES DRAWN - 13.9
The average number of games drawn for teams finishing in 20th place in a 46 game season since 2010 is 13.90. 

AVERAGE GAMES LOST - 20.3
The average number of games lost for teams finishing in 20th place in a 46 game season since 2010 is 20.30. 

AVERAGE GOALS SCORED - 51.40
The average oals scored for teams finishing in 20th place in a 46 game season since 2010 is 51.40.

AVERAGE GOALS CONCEDED - 68.90
The average goals conceded for teams finishing in 20th place in a 46 game season since 2010 is 68.90. 

Looking at the table this time last season you can see that four of the bottom six placed on Tuesday 6th December were eventually relegated with teams now in or near the drop zone wishing they are this season's Oldham Athletic who finished in 12th and Gateshead in 14th well clear of relegation to Step Two. 

An indication of how strong the National League is that the bottom four this evening are the four teams promoted from Step Tow last season season. 

LEAGUE TABLE - BOTTOM SIX ONLY - THIS TIME LAST SEASON 
AFTER GAMES PLAYED ON 6/12/2022
RED DENOTES RELEGATED AT END OF THE SEASON
POS TEAM P W D L GF GA GD PTS
19. YEOVIL TOWN 21 4 10 7 17 21 -4 22
20. MAIDSTONE UNITED 22 5 6 11 26 47 -21 21
21. TORQUAY UNITED 22 4 6 12 25 43 -18 18
22.  GATESHEAD 21 3 8 10 25 36 -11 17
23. OLDHAM ATHLETIC  20 4 5 11 19 31 -12 17
24. SCUNTHORPE UNITED 22 3 6 13 27 47 -20 15

CURRENT TABLE - BOTTOM SIX ONLY
POS TEAM P W D L GF GA GD PTS
19.  YORK CITY 22 5 8 9 31 41 -10 23
20.  WOKING 22 6 4 12 24 30 -6 22
21. EBBSFLEET UTD 23 6 4 13 30 44 -14 22
22. OXFORD CITY  23 5 6 12 34 46 -12 21
23 KIDDERMINSTER HARRIERS 23 4 7 12 17 29 -12 19
24.  AFC FYLDE  22 4 6 12 33 44 -11 18

2010/11
POSTEAMPWDLGFGAGDPTS
20/24FOREST GREEN ROVERS 461016205372-1946
21/24SOUTHPORT 461113225677-2146
SOUTHPORT REPRIEVED FROM RELEGATION. 

2011/12
POSTEAMPWDLGFGAGDPTS
20/24AFC TELFORD UNITED461016204565-2046
21/24HAYES & YEADING UTD46118275890-3241

2012/13 
POS TEAM P W D L GF GA GD PTS
20/24 SOUTHPORT 46 14 12 20 72 86 -14 54
21/24 STOCKPORT COUNTY 46 13 11 22 57 76 -19 50

2013/14 
POSTEAMPWDLGFGAGDPTS
20/24HEREFORD UNITED 461312214463-1951
21/24CHESTER 461215194970-2151
HEREFORD UNITED RELEGATED DUE TO FINANCIAL IRREGULARITIES - CHESTER REPRIEVED FROM RELEGATION. 

2014/15
POSTEAMPWDLGFGAGDPTS
20/24WELLING UNITED 461112235273-2145
21/24ALFRETON TOWN 46129254990-4145

2015/16
POSTEAMPWDLGFGAGDPTS
20/24GUISELEY461116194770-2349
21/24FC HALIFAX TOWN461212225582-2748

2016/17
POSTEAMPWDLGFGAGDPTS
20/24GUISELEY461312215067-1751
21/24YORK CITY 461117185570-1550

2017/18 
POSTEAMPWDLGFGAGDPTS
20/24BARROW 461116195163-1249
21/24WOKING46139245576-2148

2018/19
POSTEAMPWDLGFGAGDPTS
20/24BOREHAM WOOD 461216185365-1252
21/24ALDERSHOT TOWN461111243867-2944
ALDERSHOT TOWN REPRIEVED FROM RELEGATION DUE TO GATESHEAD (17th) RELEGATED DUE TO FINANCIAL IRREGULARITIES. 

2019/20 - SEASON ENDED EARLY DUE TO THE PANDEMIC

POSTEAMPWDLGFGAGDPTS
20/24CHESTERFIELD 381111165565-1044
21/24MAIDENHEAD UNITED38125214458-1441
MAIDENHEAD UNITED REPRIEVED FROM RELEGATION AS A RESULT OF THE KNOCK ON EFFECT OF BURY'S EXPLUSION FROM LEAGUE ONE.

2020/21
POSTEAMPWDLGFGAGDPTS
20/22WOKING4289254269-2733
21/22KINGS LYNN TOWN42710255098-4831
NO TEAMS RELEGATED AS VANARAMA NORTH AND SOUTH SEASONS WERE CANCELLED. DOVER ATHLETIC RECORDS EXPUNGED. MACCLESFIELD TOWN EXPELLED WITHOUT PLAYING A GAME.

2021/22 
POSTEAMPWDLGFGAGDPTS
20/23ALDERSHOT TOWN 441110234673-2743
21/23KINGS LYNN TOWN44810264779-3234

2022/23
POSTEAMPWDLGFGAGDPTS
20/24MAIDENHEAD UNITED 461311224766-1950
21/24TORQUAY UNITED461212225880-2248

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