STATISTICS - A QUICK LOOK AT THE VANARAMA NATIONAL DIVISION

CHAMPION'S RECORDS FOR THE LAST SIX SEASONS

SEASON	TEAM	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	PTS	WIN%	PPG
11/12	FLEETWOOD TOWN	46	31	10	5	102	48	+54	103	67.39%	2.24
12/13	MANSFIELD TOWN	46	30	5	11	92	52	+40	95	65.21%	2.07
13/14	LUTON TOWN	46	30	11	5	102	35	+67	101	65.21%	2.19
14/15	BARNET	46	28	8	10	94	46	+48	92	60.87%	2.00
15/16	CHELTENHAM TOWN	46	30	11	5	87	30	+57	101	65.21%	2.19
16/17	LINCOLN CITY	46	30	9	7	83	40	+43	99	65.21%	2.15
17/18	MACCLESFIELD TOWN	46	27	11	8	67	46	+21	92	58.69%	2.00
AVG			29.43	9.29	7.28	89.57	42.43	+47.14	97.57	63.97%	2.12

Here we take a look at the teams who have won non-league's top division over the past seven seasons and see that last season Macclesfield Town only scored 67 goals to win promotion to the football league - Amazingly Woking only scored 12 goals less than them and were relegated to step two for the first time since 1992. 

The average amount of games lost is 7.28 with a low of 5 defeats on three separate occasions and a high of 11 defeats from Mansfield Town in 2012/13. So with teams on eleven, twelve and thirteen games left it's the current top four in Leyton Orient (6), AFC Fylde (6), Wrexham (7) and Solihull Moors (8) who are best placed on this statistic closely followed by sixth placed Salford City (9) and seventh placed Harrogate Town (9). 

The average amount of games needed to win the division is 29.43 with a low of 27 (Macclesfield Town last season) and a high of 31 from Fleetwood Town in 2011/12. If we take Salford City, who have dropped down the table with three defeats in a row of late, as an example in this statistic they need 13 more wins to get to 29 but only have 12 games left. Current table topper's Wrexham would need 10 wins from their last 11 compared to Leyton Orient needing 12 wins from 13 games. 

Reading into this I would say that Macclesfield's total of 27 wins (I think it might go even lower) last season is probably going to be the winning total this season with so many teams taking points off of each other. If this is the case then Orient would only need 10 wins from 13 games. 

On a PPG basis the average is 2.12 - Wrexham are currently on 1.88 ppg compared to Leyton Orient on 1.85 and Salford City on 1.68. 

TEAMS I THINK CURRENTLY HAVE BEST CHANCE OF WINNING THE TITLE

TEAM	CURRENT PPG	GAMES WON	GAMES LOST
LEYTON ORIENT	1.85	17	6
AFC FYLDE	1.76	16	6
WREXHAM	1.89	19	7
SOLIHULL MOORS	1.88	19	8

Looking at the forthcoming fixtures there are two massive games coming up next weekend with Leyton Orient hosting Wrexham which I'm sure will attract a higher crowd than the 6,937 that saw their recent game against Salford City. This game kicks off at 12.35pm so by the time Salford City v Solihull Moors kicks off at 3pm the title picture will look much different to what it does now especially with Orient's tricky long midweek journey to Barrow who have three 0-0 draws in their last six league games.   

FORTHCOMING FIXTURES 

Saturday 2nd March
AFC Fylde v Maidenhead United
Aldershot Town v Gateshead 
Barnet v Barrow 
Bromley v Boreham Wood 
Dover Athletic v Braintree Town 
Eastleigh v FC Halifax Town 
Ebbsfleet United v Salford City 
Harrogate Town v Dagenham & Redbridge 
Havant & Waterlooville v Leyton Orient 
Solihull Moors v Maidstone United 
Sutton United v Hartlepool United 
Wrexham v Chesterfield 

Tuesday 5th March
Barrow v Leyton Orient 
Braintree Town v Chesterfield 
FC Halifax Town v Barnet 
Harrogate Town v Bromley 
Maidenhead United v Dagenham & Redbridge 
Salford City v Sutton United 

Saturday 9th March  
Barrow v Aldershot Town 
Boreham Wood v AFC Fylde
Braintree Town v Harrogate Town 
Chesterfield v Eastleigh 
Dagenham & Redbridge v Bromley 
FC Halifax Town v Ebbsfleet United 
Gateshead v Barnet 
Hartlepool United v Dover Athletic
Leyton Orient v Wrexham
Maidenhead United v Sutton United 
Maidstone United v Havant & Waterlooville 
Salford City v Solihull Moors