Thursday, 29 January 2015

DIVISION ONE (NORTH) - THE BIG PLAY OFF RACE

The race for the play-offs in the Ryman Division One (North) is on with many teams in contention for a coveted spot in the top five...but are they?

Here we have a statistical look at which teams have a real chance. The below table shows the teams who have finished in fifth place (the lowest place a team can finish to qualify) since the creation of the division in the 06/07 season. As you can see teams will have to aim for an average win percentage just over 50%, a loss percentage of around 25% and a points per game of around 1.82.

Best Worst
SEASON TEAM P W D L GF GA GD PTS WIN% LOSS%PPG
06/07 AFC SUDBURY42 19 13 10 67 41 +26 7045.23% 23.81% 1.67
07/08 CANVEY ISLAND 42 23 10 9 82 39 +43 79 54.76% 21.43% 1.88
08/09 CONCORD RANGERS 42 2310 9 83 34 +49 79 54.76% 21.43% 1.88
09/10EAST THURROCK 42 23 8 11 102 59 +43 77 54.76% 26.19% 1.83
10/11 BRENTWOOD TOWN 40 20 9 11 75 55 +20 69 50.00% 27.50% 1.73
11/12 GRAYS ATHLETIC 42 24 8 10 80 47 +33 77 57.14% 23.81% 1.83
12/13 AVELEY 42 24 6 12 92 58 +34 78 57.14% 28.58% 1.86
13/14 NEEDHAM MARKET 46 25 12 9 85 44 +41 87 54.35% 19.57% 1.89
AVERAGE








53.52% 24.04% 1.82

Here is the current Ryman Division One (North) table top twelve -

POS TEAM P W D L GF GA GD PTS WIN% LOSS% PPG
1 HARLOW TOWN 32 22 7 3 78 42 +36 73 68.75% 9.38% 2.28
2 NEEDHAM MARKET 30 23 1 6 66 30 +36 70 76.67% 20.00% 2.33
3 WROXHAM 31 18 4 9 73 40 +33 58 56.25%29.03% 1.81
4 BRENTWOOD TOWN 28 17 6 5 52 35 +17 57 60.71% 17.86% 2.04
5 AFC SUDBURY 30 17 3 10 52 37 +15 54 56.67%33.33% 1.80
6 THURROCK 30 16 5 9 66 34 +3253 53.33% 30.00% 1.77
7 DEREHAM TOWN 29 17 2 10 60 46 +14 53 58.62% 34.48% 1.83
8 BRIGHTLINGSEA REGENT 30 14 6 10 54 37 +17 48 46.67% 33.33% 1.60
9 AVELEY 31 15 3 13 52 49 +3 48 48.39% 41.94% 1.55
10 SOHAM TOWN RANGERS 30 145 11 56 56 0 47 46.67% 36.67% 1.57
11 WARE 29 12 10 7 55 38 +1746 41.38% 24.13% 1.59
12 TILBURY 30 12 5 13 43 52 -9 41 40.00% 43.33% 1.37

It is a fact that no team that has lost more than 12 games over a 46, 42 and 40 game season has never finished in the top five so this would take Tilbury and Aveley out of the play off picture with Soham Town Rangers currently on 11 defeats very close to the 12 game cut off point.

These statistics are there to proved wrong so we'll see what happens. Maybe one of the best ways to look at the chances is at the loss percentage based on a forty-six game season if teams are undefeated until the end of the season.

TEAM GAMES LOST LOSS%
HARLOW TOWN 3 6.52%
NEEDHAM MARKET 6 13.04%
WROXHAM 9 19.57%
BRENTWOOD TOWN 5 10.87%
AFC SUDBURY 10 21.74%
THURROCK 9 19.57%
DEREHAM TOWN 10 21.74%
BRIGHTLINGSEA REGENT 10 21.74%
AVELEY 13 28.26%
SOHAM TOWN RANGERS 11 23.91%
WARE 7 15.22%
TILBURY 13 28.26%

So based on this table and the fact the average loss percentage is 24.04% with the worst being 28.58% the following can possibly be said -

Harlow Town and Needham Market are the title favourites with the twelve point gap between them and third place. It is highly likely these teams will be in the top two come the end of the season.

Wroxham, Brentwood Town, Thurrock, and Ware all have a great chance of getting into the play-offs.

AFC Sudbury, Dereham Town, Brightlingsea Regent and Soham Town Rangers have an outside chance of reaching the top five but probably can't afford to lose more than two games for the remainder of the season.

Aveley and Tilbury already have a loss percentage of 28.26% based on 46 games played so it'll be a real surprise if they reach the top five. They really can't afford to lose any more games which is a big ask!

FORTHCOMING KEY FIXTURES

Saturday 31st January
BRENTWOOD TOWN v AFC SUDBURY 
4th v 5th in the table. This is a real must win game for AFC Sudbury 

Tuesday 3rd February 
AFC SUDBURY v WARE 
The big games keep coming for the Suffolk side. Both teams need a win in this game 

TILBURY v NEEDHAM MARKET 
A really interesting game as the title contenders travel to The Dockers who are currently one of the form sides alongside Needham and Harlow

Saturday 7th February 
AFC SUDBURY v HARLOW TOWN 
A big week for AFC Sudbury finishes with the visit of table topper's Harlow Town 

Tuesday 10th February 
BRENTWOOD TOWN v DEREHAM TOWN 
Two play off rivals go head to head at The Arena

Saturday 14th February 
HARLOW TOWN v WROXHAM 
The Hawks v The Yachtsman. 1st v 3rd in the table. Which team will have a night to celebrate on Valentines Day 

Tuesday 24th February
BRENTWOOD TOWN v NEEDHAM MARKET 
Harlow fans will be looking for their local rival's to do them a favour and beat The Marketmen to put a dent in their title ambitions. 

The biggest game of the season could be on Saturday 18th April when a massive crowd should be at Bloomfields when Needham Market welcome Harlow Town in what could be a winner takes all promotion match and title winning match. This is the penultimate weekend of the season.  

Betvictor currently rate Needham Market at 8/11 favourites for the title with Harlow Town at evens. The rest of the division is at 20/1 and over. 

 

Wednesday, 28 January 2015

CLASSY CLUNIS SHINES FOR HAMLET WHO RETURN TO WINNING WAYS

Enfield Town who were missing defender and captain Mark Kirby, midfielder Aryan Tajbakhsh and recent signing/goal scoring hero Bobby Devyne in their starting XI against title chasing Dulwich Hamlet in Tuesday evening's game. Gavin Rose's side came into the game on the back of a rare defeat (at Hampton and Richmond) on Saturday with Town famously winning at Maidstone United on the same day.

Town started well and had plenty of the ball in the first ten minutes but gradually the South London side found their stride and dominated most of the game from therein. Every Hamlet player looked confident on the ball at all times none more so than Nyren Clunis who caused Town no end of problems on the left wing. Luke Wanadio on the right also put in a very decent performance for his team. It was Clunis who set up Hamlet's all important goal with a lightning quick burst of speed which left the Town back line for dust and his cross was bundled into the net by Captain Terrell Forbes.

Nathan McDonald made a string of impressive saves to keep Town in with a chance during the 90 minutes - it was good to see the Dulwich fans giving him a round of applause at the end of the game. Town certainly didn't disgrace themselves and could of scored in the second half when Corey Whitely weaved through the Hamlet defence but his shot was well save by the arm of keeper Phil Wilson. There were certainly many positives for Bradley Quinton to take into the game against Metropolitan Police on Saturday.

Sometimes though, as in the home game last season versus Hamlet, you have to hold your hands up and say the best team with a fantastic player in their ranks (last season it was Erhun Oztumer!) fully deserved the three points. 

The win moves Dulwich up to second place in the table - Maidstone United with two games in hand and a four point cushion will still be considered big favourites for the title. Hamlet next play Grays Athletic at Champion Hill on Saturday afternoon.

The Luxury Fan blog was also present and his excellent match report is well worth a read by clicking on the link.
 
FULL MATCH HIGHLIGHTS are below

Tuesday, 27 January 2015

FOLLOW THE @ChileanTowners


It maybe over 7000 miles from Enfield to Chilie but a group of fans in the South American country have started to support The Towners. Please give them a follow if you use Twitter here - @ChileanTowners  as the International appeal of Enfield Town continues on from all our friends over in Belgium at YB SK Beveran.
 

Aquí está el mensaje rápido para el Towners chilena
Gracias por apoyar a Enfield Town usted. Esperamos que disfrute de algunos de los aspectos más destacados The Cold End pone de los partidos jugados . Ejército azul y blanco de Bradley Quinton !!!

FOUR CLUBS ON A TUESDAY #2

TOBY FC
Toby FC are well clear of the other teams in the Essex Olympian League Division Two. They have 40 points from the 17 games they have played and welcome Debden Sports for a home game this Saturday afternoon. Second placed Basildon Town (26 pts from 14 games) and Snaresbrook (26 from 12) both have games in hand so it's not all over just yet.

BURGESS HILL TOWN 
I'm sure the management and players of Burgess Hill Town will not entertain any comments regarding the fact they are Champions elect in the Ryman Division One (South). Town have 71 points from 27 games with their nearest challengers being Faversham Town on 68 points from 31 games. The Hillians are still unbeaten in league fixtures with their next three games coming against Tooting and Mitcham (11th), Corinthian Casuals (18th) and Guernsey (9th). 

WITHAM TOWN
Witham Town are just above the bottom four in the Ryman Premier Division and have only collected 9 points from the last 36 on offer which is made up of just two wins (both at home) which came against fellow relegation fighter's Bury Town (4-1) and Hampton and Richmond Borough (3-2). Garry Kimble's side now has a run of four home games against Margate, Enfield Town, Leatherhead and Canvey Island.

STAINES TOWN
The Swans, ten points adrift of safety and bottom of the Vanarama South, face a massive game on Saturday when Bishops Stortford (19th place) visit Wheatsheaf Park. They have a new manager in Nicky Forster who has replaced Marcus Gayle who left the club at the end of 2014. Forster made a winning start with a 2-1 home win over Gosport Borough on 13th January followed by a narrow 1-2 defeat away at Bath City. They also played Spelthorne Sports away in the Middlesex Senior Cup Quarter Final last mid-week which they won 0-2. It's a real must win game for Staines Town on Saturday as you can see from the below league table which shows the bottom two teams in red which is the relegation zone in the Vanarama South -

POS TEAM P GD PTS
19 BISHOPS STORTFORD 26 -13 25
20 FARNBOROUGH 23 -28 23
21 STAINES TOWN 25 -27 15

Monday, 26 January 2015

A NORTH v SOUTH LONDON DERBY UNDER THE LIGHTS AT DONKEY LANE

What could be better than a North v South London derby between two good footballing sides played in front of two sets of passionate, noisy and vociferous supporter groups? 

Enfield Town welcome Dulwich Hamlet to Donkey Lane on Tuesday evening in an eagerly anticipated Ryman Premier Division game.,

Hamlet are having another brilliant season under the guidance of highly respected manger Gavin Rose and his assistant Junior Kadi. The South Londoner side are currently in third place in the table having lost only their sixth league game of the season on Saturday when they went down 1-0 at Hampton and Richmond Borough.

Enfield Town come into the game on the back of arguably the best result since the club were formed in 2001. The 0-3 win at league leader's Maidstone United in front of 2,202 people on Saturday will long be remembered by the Town fans who made the trip. The Cold End, being a Town fan, hasn't been able to get to many games recently so I'm really looking forward to Tuesday evening. Town's new signings of Claudio Vilcu and Bobby 'Dazzler' Devayne (three goals in two games) have already become firm favourites amongst the Town faithful.

Here is some information on their current squad/team -

Phil Wilson is the first choice keeper who has lots of experience having started his career at Oxford United and also represented Stevenage Borough, Maidenhead United, Sutton United and Carshalton Athletic. He has played over 100 times for the club. He is backed up by youngster Oshane Brown who has been getting some rave reviews for his performances when he has played for the team. He has made 11 appearances this season. Brown is only 17 years old and has also played for Mertsham in the Ryman League when he was only 16 years old. He certainly has a big future in the game.

24 year old right full back/midfielder Michael Abnett started his career with Crystal Palace before spells with Dover Athletic, Havant and Waterlooville, Whyteleafe and Sutton United as well as Vikingur in Iceland. Full Back Frazer Shaw signed from Billericay Town in September and is one of the player's funded by the Hamlet supporter's '12th man' group which raises money for the club via donations, events, raffles and competitions. He started as a scholar with the Arsenal academy before playing for the youth and development squad with West Ham United.

Goal-scoring attacking midfielder Jack Dixon joined the club in November having made a host of impressive performances for Lewes. He played in the Sussex County League as a 16 year old for Rye United before joining Hastings United where he was an influential player in their famous FA Cup run of 2012/13.

Southwark born Terrell Forbes signed for the Hamlet in the summer and brings with him a host of experience to the team. He started as a youth team player with West Ham United in 1999 and was a part of their FA Youth Cup winning side of that year which also included ex Towner and current manager of Division One South side Burnham Ramblers Bertie Brayley along with the lesser known player's Joe Cole and Michael Carrick. Forbes moved to Queens Park Rangers in 2001 and made 114 appearances for the West London side and helped them to promotion in 2004 from Division Two to The Championship (renamed in 2004/05) as runner's up to Plymouth Argyle. He then went on to play for Grimsby Town, Oldham Athletic, Yeovil Town, Leyton Orient, Chesterfield and Aldershot Town. Following The Shots relegation from the football league in 2013 he moved into non-league football with Dover Athletic for the 2013/14 season helping the South coast club to promotion to non-league's top division via the Conference South play-offs. In total Forbes has 452 appearances for football league sides.

Ethan Pinnock is one of the many members of Hamlet's successful youth team who has made the step up to first team football at Champion Hill. He made his senior debut in August 2010 and has been a regular fixture in the starting line-up since. Winger Nyren Clunis is another who stepped up from the youth team making his debut in November 2009. He has always impressed The Cold End whenever I've seen him play and always chips in with some important goals during the season.

Midfielder/Defender Ashley Carew is another summer signing when he joined after spending 2013/14 with Dover Athletic where he made only a handful of appearances and spent some time on loan with Whitehawk. He started in football at Gillingham in 2003 where he didn't make any first team appearances dropping down into the non-league game with Welling United, Bromley, Sutton United,  Beckenham Town and Fisher Athletic before moving up the football league with Barnet who were then members of League Two. He spent two seasons at Underhill before dropping down to represent Eastleigh, Bromley (2nd spell) , Ebbsfleet United, Cambridge United, Carshalton Athletic and Ebbsfleet United (2nd spell) before joining Dover Athletic.

Striker Harry Ottaway is another former Dover Athletic player in the ranks. He started his career with Sutton United in 2007 and has also represented Leatherhead and Mertsham.

19 year old Xavier Vidal is another from the Hamlet youth team academy production line and his progress is being monitored by many football league scouts. He recently had a trial period Championship side Birmingham City. His goal at Donkey Lane last season was amazing and it's surely only a matter of time before he makes the step up the football pyramid. As with all the young players who have moved from Champion Hill recently I'm sure Gavin Rose will advise him about the right time and right club to move to.

Winger Luke Wanadio is a recent signing from Hampton and Richmond Borough. He has also played for Kingstonian, Thurrock and East Thurrock United

30 year old Albert Jarrett started his career with Hamlet way back in 2002 after spending time with the Arsenal academy. He was picked up by Wimbledon in 2003 after some impressing FA Youth Cup performances. He then went on to represent Brighton & HA, Stevenage Borough, Swindon Town, Watford, Boston United, MK Dons, Gillingham, Barnet, Lincoln City, Aldershot Town, Lewes, Bromley, Sutton United before rejoining Champion Hill in November 2014. He is a full Sierra Leone international having played six times for his country.

Kevin James, 35, is another highly experienced player who joined Gavin Rose's side in 2010 and has since racked up over 150 appearances. The midfielder/forward started out at Charlton Athletic in 1998 and also played for Gillingham, Nottingham Forest, Boston United, Walsall, Yeovil Town, Grimsby Town and Swindon Town before representing Welling United, Woking, Crawley Town and Chelmsford City.

Micahel Kamara is another ex Dover player at Champion Hill having joined in the summer. The defender has also played for Carshalton Athletic.

Right back Kerhaney Samuels is another product from the club's youth section. He made a few appearances for Guildford City last season and has made over 20 appearances this season.

Midfielder Jordan Hibbert started his career in the Chelsea youth system in 2002 before joining Barnsley and then Queens Park Rangers where he didn't make a first team apperance. He then spent some time with Portugesse club Farense and Swedish club AFC United before playing for Farnborough, Thamesmead Town and the Met Police before joining Dulwich for the start of the 2014/15 season.

It's certainly an occasion to look forward. With Bradley Quinton's impressive young squad and Dulwich's record of player's progressing it's highly likely you'll see a number of players who may be plying their trade for football league clubs in the near future. If the game is just 10% as good as last season's game between the two sides at The Queen Elizabeth II Stadium it'll be a feast of football. Here are the higlights of that game - 


 

If you fancy a bet on the game the best odds available are 8/5 for a home win, 27/10 for a draw and 11/8 for an away win. 

Kick off is at 7.45pm. Entrance is a bargain £10 for Adults, £6 for concessions & 16-21 year olds and just £1 for under 16s. 

Sunday, 25 January 2015

HERTFORD TOWN FIGHT BACK TO WIN A WELL DESERVED POINT

BIG DECISION? - THE REFEREE CONSULTS HIS ASSISTANT PRIOR TO GIVING A YELLOW CARD FOR THE FOUL WHICH RESULTED IN HERTFORD'S FIRST PENALTY KICK. HERTFORD TOWN'S FANS LOOK ON FROM UNDER THE STABLE END

If a bookmaker was working in-play at Hertingfordbury Park yesterday afternoon you would of probably got some generous odds during the half time break on the match ending in a draw. Colney Heath dominated the first 45 minutes so much so they could of scored one or two more than the three they did manage. The Hertford Town back-line were unable to cope with the pace of Courtney Lawrence up front for the visitors and some lazy stray passing in midfield also lead to one the goals.

PLAYING AGAINST HIS OLD CLUB - GLENN DRAPER OF COLNEY HEATH
The second half was a totally different game. I think Hertford boss Paul Halsey may have had a few choice words with his players in the dressing room as the home side attacked from the off and caused the Colney defenders lots of problems. Colney's central defender Glenn Draper who was returning to one of his former clubs had had an easy first half but he and his fellow players were very busy in the second period. He was also on the receiving end of some good natured banter from the noisy home fans gathered under The Stable End.

Hertford made it 1-3 via the penalty spot after their player Tommy Wade had been fouled when just about to take a shot directly in front of goal. Most home (and away) fans were amazed when only a yellow card was shown as surely this was denying a clear goal scoring opportunity.

It was 2-3 when after a goalmouth scramble the ball was neatly placed into the back of the net by Bradley Fraser. Time seemed to be running out for Hertford as they piled on the pressure with Colney getting a few chances to wrap up the game on the break but they were unable to beat Harry Ricketts in the Hertford goal.

The penalty decision in pictures
Right on 90 minutes the comeback was complete when another penalty kick was awarded although this time it was less than clear cut. From the replay it looks as though it was given for Glenn Draper climbing on the Hertford player? The Cold End thinks it was a little bit of a harsh decision but in the end the draw was about the right result for both sides.

Hertford went into this match on four game losing run after winning four in a row so to come back to gain a point after such a poor showing in the first half may well reignite their season which was going well up until their recent blip. Another positive was the attendance of 145 which is their highest figure for a league fixture since they played Cokfosters on the final game of last season where the crowd was 159. They are currently in sixth place - 12 points below current league leader's Kings Langley who have a game in hand over them so maybe their best chance of silverware will come in either the Hertfordshire FA Charity Shield or the SSMFL Premier Division Cup.

In the HCS they entertain Leverstock Green in the Semi-Final on Tuesday evening and in the PDC they travel for an eagerly anticipated quarter-final local derby at St Margarestsbury on Tuesday 2nd February.

Colney Heath are currently in thirteenth place with their only chance of glory coming in the Premier Division Cup where they face a short trip along the A414 to play their local rival's London Colney in a Quarter Final game on Tuesday 2nd February.

MATCH HIGHLIGHTS 
inc all the six goals scored and the penalty decisions

Friday, 23 January 2015

DULWICH HAMLET V STONEWALL MATCH

As part of the club's continued anti-homophobia campaign and the football v homophobia month Dulwich Hamlet have announced a game will take place against Stonewall FC on Wednesday 11th February. Entrance to game at Champion Hill will be £3 for adults and just £1 for concession with all proceeds going to The Elton John Aids Foundation. Kick off is at 7.30pm

Stonewall FC, formed in 1991, are currently members of the Middlesex County Football League Division One (Central and East) and are in 11th place (of 12 teams).

It's bound to be a great occasion with the club producing a programme as well to mark the occasion.